The readings for this week point to disruptive technologies
that will likely dramatically alter societies and economies. The potential of these
technologies is incredibly exciting, but government policies could stand in the
way of us leveraging all of the benefits. It’s not just economies that need to
adapt to these disruptions; government policy needs to adapt, too-- and sooner
rather than later to unleash the potential of these technologies.
The think tank I worked at prior to coming to Heinz
frequently focused on ways to promote medical innovation. Our scholars argued
that the vast amounts of data available about patient responses to drugs combined with advances in our understanding of genetics have the
potential to find personalized cures for seemingly incurable diseases such as
cancer and Parkinson’s. Advances in big data and gene sequencing (both referred
to in the McKinsey report) have allowed researchers to pinpoint the specific genetic
variations that determine whether a patient responds to a treatment or not.
While a drug might fail to cure the majority patients (and therefore flunk existing FDA approval standards), it could work on a
small subset of them with similar genetic variations (see the 2010 Sloan
Kettering trial referenced in “What Failed, the New Cancer Treatment or
Regulators?” below). The technology to match subsets of patients with treatments that
will cure them has existed for years—yet Congress only passed a bill
encouraging the FDA to allow this technology to be incorporated into clinical trials last
year, and the timeline for implementation extends through 2025.[1] Patients lying in hospital beds today could be on the path to better health
tomorrow if these regulatory barriers had adapted sooner.
All of this feet-dragging is within the United States; how
long will it take for other countries to implement similar procedures? Will
they all be able to? Aggregating data across multiple countries would lead to
even more powerful results, but as the Global Trends 2030 report points out, the
potential for multilateral cooperation is not high in the current political
climate.
Even technologies that don’t face governmental barriers now
could face them in the future; for instance, many states are in the process of
deciding how they will address self-driving cars.[2] While
governments do have a role in promoting safety, if we’re to see the full
benefits of emerging technologies, they must be prepared to be nimble in their
regulatory and legislative responses to changing technology.
Recommended further reading:
Peter Huber and Paul
Howard, “What Failed, the New Cancer Treatment or
Regulators? ,” The Wall Street Journal, February 4,
2015
Peter Huber, The
Cure in the Code: How 20th Century Law is Undermining 21st Century Medicine (Basic Books, 2013)
[1] "Proposed FDA Work Plan for
21st Century Cures Act Innovation Account Activities," U.S. Food and Drug Administration, accessed September 3, 2017, https://www.fda.gov/downloads/advisorycommittees/committeesmeetingmaterials/scienceboardtothefoodanddrugadministration/ucm556618.pdf.
[2] "Autonomous Vehicles: Self-Driving Vehicles Enacted Legistlation," National Conference of State Legislatures, accessed September 3, 2017, http://www.ncsl.org/research/transportation/autonomous-vehicles-self-driving-vehicles-enacted-legislation.aspx.
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