In the article, “The Four Global Forces Breaking all the
Trends,” the authors discuss the disruptive forces of urbanization,
accelerating technological change, an aging workforce, and globalization. There is no stopping these forces as they all
happen simultaneously to one another. As
we find ourselves in an increasingly interconnected world, it is becoming more
apparent that the world must find ways to handle the challenges faced by an
aging population. First, innovation is
necessary in order to replace the aging workforce as lower fertility rates lead
to an eventual decrease in population.
Secondly, we must find a way to care for the increasing amount of
elderly as the baby boomers approach retirement age and life expectancy
continues to increase.
While a decrease in population might be good news for an
over-crowded planet, it can negatively impact the economy. The economy grows as people join the
workforce each year. More people working
equals more production, earning, and spending [1]. As the aging population leaves the workforce,
countries need to find ways to make up for the decrease in the working
population. There are two obvious options:
find ways to encourage people to work longer and create technological advances
that could replace the aging workforce.
The first option will likely require government intervention. Currently the United States is incrementally
increasing the retirement age. Although
this is for different reasons, it will lead to more people staying in the
workforce for longer periods of time.
They also encourage people to work longer by increasing the social
security benefit that they receive if they wait longer to retire.
Another way to deal with a smaller workforce is through
technological advances. Technological advances can pertain to any line of work,
but manufacturing stands out in this case.
As the workforce in manufacturing declines, so does production and
therefore the nation’s GDP. In order to
save the economy from a potential decline, innovation is necessary. Further investment toward advances in efficient
practices and robotic automation will become more and more essential as the
world progresses forward.
While the world must be innovative in the way it handles the
decrease in its workforce, it must also find ways to handle an overwhelming
amount of elderly. Elder care is in
demand as multi-generational households become less common. So how do we prepare for this? How do we make sure that every elderly person
receives the care they need as the price of this care remains unaffordable for
many? This is a very real issue with no
obvious answers. Is the answer in
policy, technology, or a social venture; perhaps all three?
[1] http://www.cbsnews.com/news/dropping-birth-rates-threaten-global-economic-growth/
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