In his post, Evan Haines raised very good points and questions.
Evan asked if policymakers could implement Bolsa Familia (BF)-like programs in
other countries and if there were potential challenges surrounding BF programs
that he missed. I asked myself if a conditional-cash transfer (CCT) program
could be implemented to alleviate poverty in the United States. New York City
implemented a program similar to Brazil’s Bolsa Familia, but decided to
discontinue it because the program only had “modest effects on [the] lives and
economic situation” of poor residents in NYC. I will discuss other challenges
and issues that create obstacles for CCTs to work in a country like the U.S.
As Tina Rosenberg points out in her article “To Beat Back
Poverty, Pay the Poor,” Brazil’s Bolsa Familia program, which gives payments to
poor families if they meet certain requirements (e.g. keeping their children in
school) succeeded in reducing poverty. Mexico implemented a similar program
called Oportunidades and succeeded in reducing poverty as well. Poverty fell from 22
percent to 7 percent in Brazil from 2003 to 2009 and this is attributed to the CCT program. The conditional cash transfer
program seems like the perfect solution to drastically reduce poverty, but is it?
In 2007, New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg began a CCT
program in his city only to discontinue the program three years later. As Julie
Bosman points out in her article “City Will Stop Paying the Poor for Good Behavior,” the program only had moderate effects. The program only has
significant results increasing the attendance of high school students who met
school proficiency standards before entering high school. Those students who
didn’t meet proficiency standards as well as elementary and middle school students
had “no educational or attendance gains.”
Julie says the report on the NYC’s program was “in line with early
results from similar conditional cash transfer programs in Latin America.” It
is not known for sure why the program was discontinued, but it could be because
it was difficult to fund the program using public funds. Private funds paid for
the program and public funds would later be used if the program succeeded. But
there are drastic differences between the poor residing in places like New York
City and favelas in Brazil.
The problems that poor people face in an urban setting are
not the same as those in a rural community. The article in The Economist “Give The Poor Money” does point out that CCTs are less effective in urban areas than
rural ones. As the article points out, “the problems of poverty are compounded
by violence, drugs, family breakdown and child labor.” These are problems that
may not exist in rural communities or that are less of an issue. In New York
City, 80 percent of the families that received money through the CCT program
were single parent families (Bosman). This might not have been the case in
countries like Brazil or Mexico. Family breakdown can make a psychological and
economical difference.
The environment and infrastructure where poor people live
matters with this type of program. Many Brazilians in poverty reside in favelas
and as Evan pointed out, favelas are independent communities with their own
infrastructure. If a poor Brazilian family in a favela receives money, the
family is more likely to spend the money in local businesses. As I observed
during my travel in South America this past summer, communities in South
America have several small businesses. Money given to poor families in these
communities will more likely be reinvested into the community by supporting
these local businesses. In contrast, it is easy to find large corporations or
businesses (e.g. Walmart as Evan pointed out) in poor communities in the U.S.
The money invested in these large businesses will be less likely to be
reinvested back into the community as the funds will transfer out of the
community and into the hands of the large business owners.
Public administrators and policymakers should also consider
the political feasibility of a CCT. In a place like the U.S. where there are
already strong public opinions towards welfare, it seems less likely that a
nation-wide program like BF can be supported. I would expect a backlash towards
a nationwide CCT program in the U.S.
considering the current political environment. Too many skeptics believe
that the money given to these poor families would only be used for drug
purposes and other bad habits. These skeptics usually have the perception that
the families’ bad decisions led them to poverty. Public attitude as well as legislators’ attitude would need
to change for a CCT program to be approved.
How could we adapt a conditional cash transfer program to be
more effective and politically feasible in a country like the U.S.?
Thanks for the reference and for more eloquently describing the point about internal investment than I had!
ReplyDeleteTo your question, perhaps the "answer" (and why I am skeptical of CCT in the US) is in relative marginal costs. In developing countries, the cash transfer may be the difference between a child being put to work or getting any education. A relatively small cash transfer makes a huge change. In the US, I have a gut suspicion that at ppp, the same level of funding wouldn't be able to achieve so much (i.e., college and or private school are much more expensive).
So the answer might be in being even more targeted about the cost-effective opportunities that CAN have a major impact and focusing the conditions on it. Preschool is one example of a relatively cheap activity that has been shown to have major impact on lifetime levels of education.